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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ricardo Ramos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1459

Ricardo RamosvsJourney NewsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, June 29, 2019Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA

Official fight result

Ricardo Ramos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ricardo Ramos wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Ricardo Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Ramos at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Journey Newson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ricardo Ramos has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ricardo Ramos has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos

Red Corner

Journey Newson

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+315

(24%)

1483

Elo

1459

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'5"

182.88 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo RamosL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23

SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24

vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24

vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25

SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25

latest

Journey NewsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Domingo Pilarte · Feb 20

KOvs Randy Costa · Sep 20

vs Fernie Garcia · May 22

vs Sergey Morozov · Dec 22

SUBvs Marcus McGhee · Apr 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricJourney Newson

2.91

Strikes / min

2.64

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

2.57

54%

Strike defense

64%

2.51

TDs / 15 min

0.56

67%

Takedown defense

43%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.06Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricardo RamosJourney Newson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Journey Newson(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.2|Blue -24.2

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -47.8|Blue +47.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetJourney Newson

By target zone

26% acc · 57%

Head

11% acc · 24%

47% acc · 20%

Body

50% acc · 24%

69% acc · 23%

Leg

80% acc · 53%

By position

32% acc · 93%

Distance

30% acc · 97%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricardo Ramos rounds

even

Journey Newson rounds

Round 1Ricardo Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control0:45

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ricardo Ramos edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control2:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 120

Sig Strikes

38 / 123

33.3%

Sig Str %

31.3%

48 / 129

Total Strikes

41 / 127

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:45

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Journey Newson	10 / 36	12 / 39	0 / 1	0
1	Ricardo Ramos	9 / 39	10 / 40	1 / 1	0
2	Journey Newson	17 / 59	17 / 59	0 / 0	0
2	Ricardo Ramos	17 / 47	17 / 47	0 / 0	0
3	Journey Newson	11 / 28	12 / 29	0 / 0	1
3	Ricardo Ramos	14 / 34	21 / 42	2 / 2	0

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15

Journey Newson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6