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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Ramos won · SUB R1
Elo1483
Ricardo Ramos
Elo1391

Ricardo RamosvsEduardo GaragorriUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Saturday, November 16, 2019Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Ricardo Ramos won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:57

Style matchupRicardo Ramos: WrestlervsEduardo Garagorri: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Ricardo Ramos wins(63.8%)

Actual result: Ricardo Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Ramos at -430 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Eduardo Garagorri
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+345
(22%)
1483
Elo
1391
30
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo RamosL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23
L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24
W
vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25
latest
Eduardo Garagorri
oldest →
L
SUBvs Darren Elkins · Nov 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricEduardo Garagorri
2.91
Strikes / min
3.42
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
54%
Strike defense
58%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
0.48
67%
Takedown defense
61%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap+1.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1545 vs 1500Takedowns2.1 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.70 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 0.0
Ricardo RamosEduardo Garagorri

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Eduardo Garagorri(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +91.8|Blue -91.8
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetEduardo Garagorri

By target zone

3
13% acc · 30%
Head
3
27% acc · 50%
3
75% acc · 30%
Body
3
75% acc · 50%
4
57% acc · 40%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

9
27% acc · 90%
Distance
6
38% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
100% acc · 10%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ricardo Ramos rounds
0
even
0
Eduardo Garagorri rounds
Round 1Ricardo Ramos edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control1:06
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
10 / 34
Sig Strikes
6 / 16
29%
Sig Str %
37%
12 / 36
Total Strikes
6 / 16
2 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
66%
TD %
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:06
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Eduardo Garagorri6 / 166 / 160 / 00
1Ricardo Ramos10 / 3412 / 362 / 31

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15

Eduardo Garagorri

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2