Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Ramos won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1483
Ricardo Ramos
Elo1428

Ricardo RamosvsDanny ChavezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · Saturday, June 18, 2022Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Ricardo Ramos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:12

Style matchupRicardo Ramos: WrestlervsDanny Chavez: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ricardo Ramos wins(74.9%)

Actual result: Ricardo Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Ramos at -330 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Danny Chavez has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Ricardo Ramos has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Danny Chavez
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
1483
Elo
1428
30
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo RamosL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23
L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24
W
vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25
latest
Danny Chavez
oldest →
W
vs TJ Brown · Aug 20
L
vs Jared Gordon · Feb 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricDanny Chavez
2.91
Strikes / min
2.86
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
3.83
54%
Strike defense
50%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
1.95
67%
Takedown defense
87%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06evenly matched on net striking-0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1538 vs 1499Strikes3.0 vs 2.9Takedowns2.8 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs -0.3
Ricardo RamosDanny Chavez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Danny Chavez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +55.3|Blue -55.3
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -252.0|Blue +252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetDanny Chavez

By target zone

3
25% acc · 75%
Head
2
29% acc · 67%
1
50% acc · 25%
Body
0
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 33%

By position

4
29% acc · 100%
Distance
3
38% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ricardo Ramos rounds
0
even
0
Danny Chavez rounds
Round 1Ricardo Ramos edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
4 / 14
Sig Strikes
3 / 9
28%
Sig Str %
33%
4 / 14
Total Strikes
3 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Danny Chavez3 / 93 / 90 / 00
1Ricardo Ramos4 / 144 / 140 / 00

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15

Danny Chavez

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3