Skip to content
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Ramos won · U-DEC
Elo1483
Ricardo Ramos
Elo1498
Bill Algeo

Ricardo RamosvsBill AlgeoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · Saturday, May 22, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ricardo Ramos won

U-DEC

Style matchupRicardo Ramos: WrestlervsBill Algeo: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Bill Algeo wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Ricardo Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bill Algeo at -145 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Bill Algeo (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Bill Algeo
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
1483
Elo
1498
30
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo RamosL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23
L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24
W
vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25
latest
Bill AlgeoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Andre Fili · Sep 22
W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Apr 23
W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23
L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24
L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricBill Algeo
2.91
Strikes / min
5.88
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.38
54%
Strike defense
47%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
1.03
67%
Takedown defense
55%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06Δ 2.56 — meaningful gap+1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1540 vs 1503Strikes3.1 vs 6.4Takedowns3.1 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.70 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs 0.1
Ricardo RamosBill Algeo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Bill Algeo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.8|Blue +14.8
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +136.0|Blue -136.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetBill Algeo

By target zone

30
42% acc · 57%
Head
35
32% acc · 46%
16
80% acc · 30%
Body
25
63% acc · 33%
7
70% acc · 13%
Leg
16
84% acc · 21%

By position

45
48% acc · 85%
Distance
71
44% acc · 93%
8
89% acc · 15%
Clinch
4
57% acc · 5%
0
Ground
1
50% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ricardo Ramos rounds
0
even
2
Bill Algeo rounds
Round 1Ricardo Ramos edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns4
Control1:23
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 2Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control1:03
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control1:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
53 / 102
Sig Strikes
76 / 170
53%
Sig Str %
43.7%
57 / 106
Total Strikes
90 / 187
8 / 13
TDs
0 / 1
63.3%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
3:26
Ctrl Time
0:41

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bill Algeo17 / 4121 / 450 / 10
1Ricardo Ramos17 / 2719 / 294 / 40
2Bill Algeo30 / 6337 / 720 / 00
2Ricardo Ramos18 / 3220 / 342 / 41
3Bill Algeo29 / 6632 / 700 / 00
3Ricardo Ramos18 / 4318 / 432 / 50

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15

Bill Algeo

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10