← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Mirsad Bektic won · S-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1389

Ricardo LamasvsMirsad BekticUFC Prediction Result

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Saturday, June 9, 2018Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Mirsad Bektic won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ricardo Lamas wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Mirsad Bektic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Lamas at +205 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mirsad Bektic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mirsad Bektic has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Lamas

Red Corner

Mirsad Bektic

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-245

(71%)

1493

Elo

1389

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo Lamas

oldest →

KOvs Jason Knight · Jul 17

KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17

KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18

KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19

vs Bill Algeo · Aug 20

latest

Mirsad BekticL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 17

KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Jan 18

KOvs Josh Emmett · Jul 19

vs Dan Ige · Feb 20

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Sep 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo LamasMetricMirsad Bektic

3.13

Strikes / min

2.43

2.87

Strikes absorbed / min

1.80

57%

Strike defense

57%

1.84

TDs / 15 min

3.98

46%

Takedown defense

92%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricardo LamasMirsad Bektic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Mirsad Bektic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +103.6|Blue -103.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo LamasTargetMirsad Bektic

By target zone

24% acc · 24%

Head

18% acc · 39%

91% acc · 62%

Body

83% acc · 48%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

67% acc · 13%

By position

38% acc · 44%

Distance

24% acc · 48%

95% acc · 56%

Clinch

61% acc · 45%

0% acc

Ground

50% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricardo Lamas rounds

even

Mirsad Bektic rounds

Round 1Mirsad Bektic edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:49

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:12Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:19Control

Round 3Mirsad Bektic edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:05

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 62

Sig Strikes

31 / 89

50.7%

Sig Str %

35.7%

69 / 97

Total Strikes

97 / 174

0 / 4

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

66.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:54

Ctrl Time

8:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mirsad Bektic	12 / 28	53 / 82	1 / 1	0
1	Ricardo Lamas	12 / 21	17 / 26	0 / 3	0
2	Mirsad Bektic	13 / 45	23 / 59	0 / 0	0
2	Ricardo Lamas	18 / 29	30 / 41	0 / 1	0
3	Mirsad Bektic	6 / 16	21 / 33	1 / 3	0
3	Ricardo Lamas	4 / 12	22 / 30	0 / 0	2

Ricardo Lamas

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17

Mirsad Bektic

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10