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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Ricardo Lamas won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1362

Ricardo LamasvsHacran DiasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Saturday, June 28, 2014San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Ricardo Lamas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Hacran Dias wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Ricardo Lamas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hacran Dias at +248 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Hacran Dias has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Lamas

Red Corner

Hacran Dias

Blue Corner

-270

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+248

(29%)

1493

Elo

1362

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo Lamas

oldest →

KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17

vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18

KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18

KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19

vs Bill Algeo · Aug 20

latest

Hacran DiasL3 streak

oldest →

vs Darren Elkins · Dec 14

vs Levan Makashvili · Jun 15

vs Cub Swanson · Apr 16

vs Andre Fili · Oct 16

vs Jared Gordon · Oct 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo LamasMetricHacran Dias

3.13

Strikes / min

2.08

2.87

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

57%

Strike defense

55%

1.84

TDs / 15 min

2.50

46%

Takedown defense

76%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.26Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-1.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricardo LamasHacran Dias

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Hacran Dias(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +130.3|Blue -130.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -259.0|Blue +259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo LamasTargetHacran Dias

By target zone

16% acc · 30%

Head

31% acc · 55%

67% acc · 24%

Body

73% acc · 26%

75% acc · 45%

Leg

75% acc · 19%

By position

21% acc · 48%

Distance

38% acc · 84%

89% acc · 52%

Clinch

100% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricardo Lamas rounds

even

Hacran Dias rounds

Round 1Hacran Dias edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:03

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 2Ricardo Lamas edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:07

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:50Control

Round 3Ricardo Lamas edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:20

1Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 94

Sig Strikes

31 / 74

40.3%

Sig Str %

34.3%

50 / 111

Total Strikes

57 / 100

2 / 11

TDs

2 / 5

15%

TD %

22%

Sub Att

Rev

5:30

Ctrl Time

3:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Hacran Dias	18 / 41	20 / 43	0 / 1	0
1	Ricardo Lamas	10 / 41	14 / 45	0 / 2	0
2	Hacran Dias	12 / 26	21 / 35	0 / 1	0
2	Ricardo Lamas	12 / 36	15 / 39	1 / 4	0
3	Hacran Dias	1 / 7	16 / 22	2 / 3	0
3	Ricardo Lamas	11 / 17	21 / 27	1 / 5	1

Ricardo Lamas

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17

Hacran Dias

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights8