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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Ricardo Lamas won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Ricardo LamasvsDiego SanchezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · Saturday, November 21, 2015Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, Mexico

Official fight result

Ricardo Lamas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ricardo Lamas wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Ricardo Lamas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Lamas at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Lamas

Red Corner

Diego Sanchez

Blue Corner

-440

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+350

(22%)

1493

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo Lamas

oldest →

KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17

vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18

KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18

KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19

vs Bill Algeo · Aug 20

latest

Diego Sanchez

oldest →

vs Craig White · Sep 18

KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19

vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19

vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20

vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo LamasMetricDiego Sanchez

3.13

Strikes / min

2.69

2.87

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

57%

Strike defense

56%

1.84

TDs / 15 min

1.51

46%

Takedown defense

46%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricardo LamasDiego Sanchez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Diego Sanchez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -301.0|Blue +301.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo LamasTargetDiego Sanchez

By target zone

36% acc · 44%

Head

29% acc · 73%

63% acc · 9%

Body

73% acc · 27%

87% acc · 47%

Leg

By position

46% acc · 75%

Distance

24% acc · 57%

87% acc · 23%

Clinch

79% acc · 37%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricardo Lamas rounds

even

Diego Sanchez rounds

Round 1Ricardo Lamas edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns2

Control1:10

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:29Control

Round 2Ricardo Lamas edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control2:29

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 3Ricardo Lamas edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:59

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 109

Sig Strikes

30 / 86

53%

Sig Str %

36.7%

69 / 122

Total Strikes

36 / 92

3 / 6

TDs

1 / 2

49.5%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

4:38

Ctrl Time

1:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Diego Sanchez	9 / 30	9 / 30	0 / 1
1	Ricardo Lamas	20 / 43	27 / 50	2 / 3
2	Diego Sanchez	12 / 22	17 / 27	1 / 1
2	Ricardo Lamas	20 / 30	24 / 34	1 / 3
3	Diego Sanchez	9 / 34	10 / 35	0 / 0
3	Ricardo Lamas	17 / 36	18 / 38	0 / 0

Ricardo Lamas

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17

Diego Sanchez

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights19