Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Lamas won · SUB R1
Elo1493
Ricardo Lamas
Elo1491

Ricardo LamasvsDennis BermudezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · Saturday, November 15, 2014Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Ricardo Lamas won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:18

Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(74.7%)

Actual result: Ricardo Lamas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Bermudez at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dennis Bermudez has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Ricardo Lamas has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Lamas
Red Corner
VS
Dennis Bermudez
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
1493
Elo
1491
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo Lamas
oldest →
L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17
L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18
L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19
W
vs Bill Algeo · Aug 20
latest
Dennis Bermudez
oldest →
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17
L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17
L
vs Andre Fili · Jan 18
L
vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18
W
vs Te Edwards · Jan 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo LamasMetricDennis Bermudez
3.13
Strikes / min
4.42
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.07
57%
Strike defense
59%
1.84
TDs / 15 min
3.89
46%
Takedown defense
82%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1561 vs 1593Strikes27.8 vs 52.6Takedowns1.3 vs 3.5Sub Atts1.00 vs 1.38Form0.4 vs 1.0
Ricardo LamasDennis Bermudez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo LamasTargetDennis Bermudez

By target zone

2
15% acc · 14%
Head
2
10% acc · 25%
9
100% acc · 64%
Body
3
60% acc · 38%
3
100% acc · 21%
Leg
3
75% acc · 38%

By position

6
35% acc · 43%
Distance
4
16% acc · 50%
5
100% acc · 36%
Clinch
4
80% acc · 50%
3
100% acc · 21%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ricardo Lamas rounds
0
even
0
Dennis Bermudez rounds
Round 1Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:51
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
14 / 25
Sig Strikes
8 / 30
56%
Sig Str %
26%
16 / 27
Total Strikes
16 / 38
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:51
Ctrl Time
1:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dennis Bermudez8 / 3016 / 380 / 10
1Ricardo Lamas14 / 2516 / 270 / 01

Ricardo Lamas

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17

Dennis Bermudez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17