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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Pyle won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1351

Elo1364

Ricardo FunchvsMike PyleUFC Prediction Result

UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · Saturday, January 14, 2012Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Mike Pyle won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:22

Style matchupRicardo Funch: Well-roundedvsMike Pyle: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Mike Pyle wins(75.2%)

Actual result: Mike Pyle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Pyle at -530 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Pyle has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Ricardo Funch (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Funch

Red Corner

Mike Pyle

Blue Corner

+455

(18%)

Vegas Odds

-530

(84%)

1351

Elo

1364

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo FunchL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Claude Patrick · Jun 10

SUBvs Dan Miller · Jun 12

latest

Mike PyleL3 streak

oldest →

vs Colby Covington · May 15

KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16

KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16

KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16

KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo FunchMetricMike Pyle

2.61

Strikes / min

2.74

3.57

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

40%

Strike defense

60%

1.24

TDs / 15 min

1.80

60%

Takedown defense

70%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.96evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricardo FunchMike Pyle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricardo Funch(3 fights)Mike Pyle(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.7|Blue +12.7

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +420.0|Blue -420.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo FunchTargetMike Pyle

By target zone

17% acc · 50%

Head

32% acc · 55%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 27%

100% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

25% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 55%

Clinch

100% acc · 18%

Ground

50% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricardo Funch rounds

even

Mike Pyle rounds

Round 1Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 8

Sig Strikes

11 / 24

25%

Sig Str %

45%

4 / 10

Total Strikes

14 / 27

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Pyle	11 / 24	14 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Ricardo Funch	2 / 8	4 / 10	0 / 0	0

Ricardo Funch

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16