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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Claude Patrick won · SUB R2
Elo1351
Ricardo Funch
Elo1490

Ricardo FunchvsClaude PatrickUFC Prediction Result

UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · Saturday, June 12, 2010Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Claude Patrick won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:48

Style matchupRicardo Funch: Well-roundedvsClaude Patrick: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ricardo Funch wins(63.9%)

Actual result: Claude Patrick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Funch at +215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Claude Patrick has 29pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Claude Patrick has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ricardo Funch (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Funch
Red Corner
VS
Claude Patrick
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
1351
Elo
1490
45
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo FunchL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Jan 12
L
SUBvs Dan Miller · Jun 12
latest
Claude Patrick
oldest →
W
vs James Wilks · Oct 10
W
vs Daniel Roberts · Apr 11
L
vs Brian Ebersole · Dec 11
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo FunchMetricClaude Patrick
2.61
Strikes / min
1.80
3.57
Strikes absorbed / min
0.89
40%
Strike defense
69%
1.24
TDs / 15 min
2.32
60%
Takedown defense
84%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.96Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes16.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.0 vs 0.0
Ricardo FunchClaude Patrick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Funch(3 fights)Claude Patrick(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -138.7|Blue +138.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo FunchTargetClaude Patrick

By target zone

1
100% acc · 20%
Head
11
69% acc · 85%
1
100% acc · 20%
Body
1
100% acc · 8%
3
100% acc · 60%
Leg
1
100% acc · 8%

By position

2
100% acc · 40%
Distance
0
0% acc
2
100% acc · 40%
Clinch
3
60% acc · 23%
1
100% acc · 20%
Ground
10
83% acc · 77%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ricardo Funch rounds
0
even
1
Claude Patrick rounds
Round 1Claude Patrick edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:21
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:23Control
Round 2Ricardo Funch edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control1:18
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
5 / 5
Sig Strikes
13 / 18
100%
Sig Str %
56.5%
17 / 20
Total Strikes
24 / 30
0 / 2
TDs
1 / 2
0%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
0
1:39
Ctrl Time
4:35

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Claude Patrick12 / 1522 / 261 / 21
1Ricardo Funch2 / 211 / 140 / 00
2Claude Patrick1 / 32 / 40 / 01
2Ricardo Funch3 / 36 / 60 / 20

Ricardo Funch

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3

Claude Patrick

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4