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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Pyle won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1364

Ricardo AlmeidavsMike PyleUFC Prediction Result

UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · Saturday, March 19, 2011Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Mike Pyle won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRicardo Almeida: WrestlervsMike Pyle: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Mike Pyle wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Mike Pyle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Pyle at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Pyle has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Almeida

Red Corner

Mike Pyle

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1490

Elo

1364

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo Almeida

oldest →

SUBvs Matt Brown · Mar 10

SUBvs Matt Hughes · Aug 10

vs TJ Grant · Dec 10

latest

Mike PyleL3 streak

oldest →

vs Colby Covington · May 15

KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16

KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16

KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16

KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo AlmeidaMetricMike Pyle

2.02

Strikes / min

2.74

1.20

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

61%

Strike defense

60%

3.74

TDs / 15 min

1.80

31%

Takedown defense

70%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricardo AlmeidaMike Pyle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricardo Almeida(4 fights)Mike Pyle(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo AlmeidaTargetMike Pyle

By target zone

33% acc · 27%

Head

27% acc · 33%

91% acc · 42%

Body

89% acc · 44%

65% acc · 31%

Leg

73% acc · 22%

By position

49% acc · 69%

Distance

37% acc · 58%

80% acc · 17%

Clinch

93% acc · 39%

100% acc · 15%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricardo Almeida rounds

even

Mike Pyle rounds

Round 1Ricardo Almeida edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control1:17

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Ricardo Almeida edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control2:21

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Mike Pyle edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:35

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 84

Sig Strikes

36 / 73

55.7%

Sig Str %

47.3%

66 / 103

Total Strikes

77 / 120

1 / 18

TDs

1 / 3

5.3%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

5:13

Ctrl Time

0:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Pyle	11 / 21	27 / 38	0 / 1	1
1	Ricardo Almeida	14 / 24	19 / 30	0 / 6	0
2	Mike Pyle	7 / 19	25 / 39	0 / 0	0
2	Ricardo Almeida	24 / 33	33 / 42	1 / 6	0
3	Mike Pyle	18 / 33	25 / 43	1 / 2	0
3	Ricardo Almeida	10 / 27	14 / 31	0 / 6	0

Ricardo Almeida

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4

Mike Pyle

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights16