Lightweight

3 Rounds

Reza Madadi won · SUB R2

Elo1360

Elo1352

Reza MadadivsYoislandy IzquierdoUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · Saturday, April 14, 2012Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Reza Madadi won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:28

Model Prediction: Reza Madadi wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Reza Madadi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Reza Madadi at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Reza Madadi threatens submissions; Yoislandy Izquierdo has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Reza Madadi has 40pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Reza Madadi has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Yoislandy Izquierdo (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Reza Madadi

Red Corner

Yoislandy Izquierdo

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1360

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

184 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Reza MadadiL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13

vs Norman Parke · Oct 15

KOvs Yan Cabral · May 16

vs Joe Duffy · Mar 17

vs Joaquim Silva · May 17

latest

Yoislandy Izquierdo

oldest →

vs Rafaello Oliveira · Jul 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Reza MadadiMetricYoislandy Izquierdo

2.51

Strikes / min

2.93

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

1.40

66%

Strike defense

26%

3.17

TDs / 15 min

0.00

89%

Takedown defense

50%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.80Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap+1.53

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Reza Madadi(7 fights)Yoislandy Izquierdo(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.9|Blue -8.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Reza MadadiTargetYoislandy Izquierdo

By target zone

Head

41% acc · 47%

Body

80% acc · 33%

100% acc · 100%

Leg

88% acc · 19%

By position

Distance

54% acc · 83%

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

67% acc · 11%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Reza Madadi rounds

even

Yoislandy Izquierdo rounds

Round 1Yoislandy Izquierdo edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns2

Control1:37

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 2Yoislandy Izquierdo edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns1

Control0:38

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 1

Sig Strikes

36 / 64

100%

Sig Str %

51%

2 / 2

Total Strikes

44 / 72

3 / 7

TDs

0 / 2

66.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:15

Ctrl Time

0:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yoislandy Izquierdo	29 / 47	37 / 55	0 / 2	0
1	Reza Madadi	1 / 1	2 / 2	2 / 6	0
2	Yoislandy Izquierdo	7 / 17	7 / 17	0 / 0	0
2	Reza Madadi	0 / 0	0 / 0	1 / 1	1

Reza Madadi

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Yoislandy Izquierdo

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2