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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Renato Moicano won · S-DEC R3

Elo1523

Elo1496

Renato MoicanovsZubaira TukhugovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · Saturday, May 14, 2016Curitiba, Parana, Brazil

Official fight result

Renato Moicano won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRenato Moicano: Pressure fightervsZubaira Tukhugov: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Renato Moicano at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zubaira Tukhugov has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Renato Moicano has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Renato Moicano

Red Corner

Zubaira Tukhugov

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1523

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Renato Moicano

oldest →

KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24

SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25

vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25

SUBvs Chris Duncan · Apr 26

latest

Zubaira Tukhugov

oldest →

vs Phillipe Nover · Dec 15

KOvs Kevin Aguilar · Feb 20

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Sep 20

vs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 21

vs Elves Brener · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Renato MoicanoMetricZubaira Tukhugov

4.10

Strikes / min

3.17

3.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

59%

Strike defense

63%

1.68

TDs / 15 min

2.13

64%

Takedown defense

100%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Renato MoicanoZubaira Tukhugov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Renato Moicano(10 fights)Zubaira Tukhugov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +26.3|Blue -26.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +355.0|Blue -355.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Renato MoicanoTargetZubaira Tukhugov

By target zone

21% acc · 48%

Head

24% acc · 83%

45% acc · 11%

Body

42% acc · 17%

90% acc · 41%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 93%

Distance

25% acc · 90%

33% acc · 2%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 5%

Ground

60% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Renato Moicano rounds

even

Zubaira Tukhugov rounds

Round 1Zubaira Tukhugov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:05

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:48Control

Round 2Renato Moicano edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 129

Sig Strikes

29 / 112

33.7%

Sig Str %

25%

52 / 137

Total Strikes

32 / 115

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 8

—

TD %

30%

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

1:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Zubaira Tukhugov	5 / 21	8 / 24	1 / 2
1	Renato Moicano	9 / 26	15 / 32	0 / 0
2	Zubaira Tukhugov	11 / 48	11 / 48	0 / 1
2	Renato Moicano	15 / 51	15 / 51	0 / 0
3	Zubaira Tukhugov	13 / 43	13 / 43	2 / 5
3	Renato Moicano	20 / 52	22 / 54	0 / 0

Renato Moicano

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights20

Zubaira Tukhugov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8