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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chan Sung Jung won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1523
Renato Moicano
Elo1474
Chan Sung Jung

Renato MoicanovsChan Sung JungUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, June 22, 2019Greenville, South Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Chan Sung Jung won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:58

Style matchupRenato Moicano: Pressure fightervsChan Sung Jung: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Chan Sung Jung wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Renato Moicano at -220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Renato Moicano
Red Corner
VS
Chan Sung Jung
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
1523
Elo
1474
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Renato Moicano
oldest →
W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24
W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24
L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25
L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25
W
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Apr 26
latest
Chan Sung JungL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 19
L
vs Brian Ortega · Oct 20
W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 21
L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 22
L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Renato MoicanoMetricChan Sung Jung
4.10
Strikes / min
3.93
3.55
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.70
64%
Takedown defense
72%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.55Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1551 vs 1537Strikes5.5 vs 4.6Takedowns1.2 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.60Form0.1 vs -0.6
Renato MoicanoChan Sung Jung

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Renato Moicano(10 fights)Chan Sung Jung(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +48.8|Blue -48.8
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Renato MoicanoTargetChan Sung Jung

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
15
65% acc · 94%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 6%

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
3
50% acc · 19%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
13
72% acc · 81%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Renato Moicano rounds
0
even
1
Chan Sung Jung rounds
Round 1Chan Sung Jung edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
0 / 3
Sig Strikes
16 / 24
0%
Sig Str %
66%
0 / 3
Total Strikes
18 / 26
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:26

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chan Sung Jung16 / 2418 / 260 / 00
1Renato Moicano0 / 30 / 30 / 00

Renato Moicano

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20

Chan Sung Jung

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12