Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Borjas has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rei Tsuruya
oldest →W
vs Carlos Hernandez · Jun 24W
SUBvs Luis Gurule · May 26 Kevin Borjas
oldest →L
KOvs Alessandro Costa · May 24W
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Mar 25L
KOvs Imanol Rodriguez · Feb 26W
DECvs Andre Lima · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rei TsuruyaMetricKevin Borjas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.23Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap-1.68
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rei Tsuruya(3 fights)Kevin Borjas(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +32.9|Blue -32.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -14.2|Blue +14.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Method Projection
Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Decision.
Neither fighter relies on finishes — likely a decision.
Historical win share: Rei Tsuruya earned 50% of wins by submission.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.
