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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Reginaldo Vieira won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1357

Reginaldo VieiravsDileno LopesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · Saturday, August 1, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Reginaldo Vieira won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupReginaldo Vieira: Elusive strikervsDileno Lopes: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Reginaldo Vieira wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Reginaldo Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Reginaldo Vieira at +360 American odds

+$360 profit

$460 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dileno Lopes has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dileno Lopes (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Reginaldo Vieira

Red Corner

Dileno Lopes

Blue Corner

+360

(22%)

Vegas Odds

-450

(82%)

1359

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Reginaldo VieiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marco Beltran · Jul 16

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Feb 17

latest

Dileno Lopes

oldest →

vs Anthony Birchak · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Reginaldo VieiraMetricDileno Lopes

3.76

Strikes / min

2.37

2.89

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

59%

Strike defense

53%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

2.50

25%

Takedown defense

100%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.87Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap-0.96

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Reginaldo Vieira(3 fights)Dileno Lopes(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Reginaldo VieiraTargetDileno Lopes

By target zone

49% acc · 66%

Head

31% acc · 52%

88% acc · 25%

Body

76% acc · 41%

63% acc · 8%

Leg

43% acc · 7%

By position

48% acc · 54%

Distance

36% acc · 65%

57% acc · 14%

Clinch

68% acc · 28%

79% acc · 32%

Ground

50% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Reginaldo Vieira rounds

even

Dileno Lopes rounds

Round 1Dileno Lopes edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control1:10

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:12Control

Round 2Dileno Lopes edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Reginaldo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control2:16

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 105

Sig Strikes

46 / 109

55.7%

Sig Str %

39.3%

127 / 179

Total Strikes

73 / 146

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 4

TD %

83.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:26

Ctrl Time

2:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dileno Lopes	23 / 38	28 / 43	1 / 1	2
1	Reginaldo Vieira	21 / 34	31 / 46	0 / 1	2
2	Dileno Lopes	18 / 49	31 / 64	1 / 1	0
2	Reginaldo Vieira	14 / 35	14 / 35	0 / 0	0
3	Dileno Lopes	5 / 22	14 / 39	1 / 2	1
3	Reginaldo Vieira	24 / 36	82 / 98	0 / 0	0

Reginaldo Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights3

Dileno Lopes

Stance—

Height65.0"

Reach—

Fights2