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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Puja Tomar won · S-DEC R3
Elo1475
Elo1495
Puja Tomar

Rayanne dos SantosvsPuja TomarUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Saturday, June 8, 2024Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Puja Tomar won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRayanne dos Santos: Pressure fightervsPuja Tomar: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Puja Tomar wins(61.3%)

Actual result: Puja Tomar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rayanne dos Santos has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Puja Tomar has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Puja Tomar (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Rayanne dos Santos
Red Corner
VS
Puja Tomar
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1475
Elo
1495
31
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'2"
Height
5'4"
157.48 cm
Reach
149.86 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rayanne dos SantosL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Talita Alencar · Dec 23
L
vs Alice Ardelean · May 25
latest
Puja Tomar
oldest →
L
SUBvs Shauna Bannon · Mar 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rayanne dos SantosMetricPuja Tomar
4.57
Strikes / min
5.61
6.47
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
59%
Strike defense
46%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
80%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.90Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap-0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1500Strikes4.4 vs 6.3Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Rayanne dos SantosPuja Tomar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Rayanne dos Santos(3 fights)Puja Tomar(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -19.3|Blue +19.3
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rayanne dos SantosTargetPuja Tomar

By target zone

47
51% acc · 56%
Head
29
26% acc · 31%
29
63% acc · 35%
Body
50
85% acc · 53%
8
67% acc · 10%
Leg
16
57% acc · 17%

By position

79
55% acc · 94%
Distance
94
48% acc · 99%
5
83% acc · 6%
Clinch
1
20% acc · 1%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Rayanne dos Santos rounds
0
even
2
Puja Tomar rounds
Round 1Puja Tomar edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Puja Tomar edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Rayanne dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:49
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
84 / 150
Sig Strikes
95 / 199
56%
Sig Str %
47.7%
86 / 152
Total Strikes
99 / 203
0 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:49
Ctrl Time
0:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Puja Tomar36 / 7537 / 760 / 00
1Rayanne dos Santos27 / 4427 / 440 / 10
2Puja Tomar28 / 5728 / 570 / 00
2Rayanne dos Santos24 / 5124 / 510 / 10
3Puja Tomar31 / 6734 / 700 / 00
3Rayanne dos Santos33 / 5535 / 570 / 10

Rayanne dos Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3

Puja Tomar

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach59.0"
Fights2