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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Ray Borg won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1359

Ray BorgvsGeane HerreraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · Saturday, August 8, 2015Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Ray Borg won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ray Borg wins(87.4%)

Actual result: Ray Borg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ray Borg at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ray Borg

Red Corner

Geane Herrera

Blue Corner

-440

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+350

(22%)

1492

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'5"

160.02 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ray Borg

oldest →

SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17

vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19

vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19

vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20

vs Ricky Simon · May 20

latest

Geane HerreraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joby Sanchez · Dec 15

vs Ali Bagautinov · Jun 16

vs Ben Nguyen · Nov 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ray BorgMetricGeane Herrera

1.52

Strikes / min

1.51

1.93

Strikes absorbed / min

5.07

48%

Strike defense

52%

3.89

TDs / 15 min

0.83

46%

Takedown defense

38%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41Δ 3.15 — meaningful gap-3.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ray BorgGeane Herrera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ray Borg(10 fights)Geane Herrera(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.8|Blue -133.8

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ray BorgTargetGeane Herrera

By target zone

46% acc · 85%

Head

50% acc · 86%

80% acc · 15%

Body

100% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

29% acc · 29%

Clinch

57% acc · 100%

Ground

83% acc · 71%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ray Borg rounds

even

Geane Herrera rounds

Round 1Ray Borg edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control4:38

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Ray Borg edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control4:38

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ray Borg edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control4:37

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 53

Sig Strikes

7 / 13

48.3%

Sig Str %

50%

85 / 115

Total Strikes

24 / 33

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

13:53

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Geane Herrera	4 / 4	10 / 12	0 / 0	0
1	Ray Borg	10 / 17	20 / 27	1 / 1	1
2	Geane Herrera	0 / 3	5 / 9	0 / 0	0
2	Ray Borg	10 / 19	26 / 36	1 / 1	1
3	Geane Herrera	3 / 6	9 / 12	0 / 0	0
3	Ray Borg	6 / 17	39 / 52	1 / 1	0

Ray Borg

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights12

Geane Herrera

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights4