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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ray Borg won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1381

Ray BorgvsGabriel SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Saturday, July 20, 2019San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Ray Borg won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ray Borg wins(74.1%)

Actual result: Ray Borg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ray Borg at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gabriel Silva has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ray Borg

Red Corner

Gabriel Silva

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1492

Elo

1381

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

160.02 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ray Borg

oldest →

vs Jussier Formiga · Mar 17

SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17

vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19

vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20

vs Ricky Simon · May 20

latest

Gabriel Silva

oldest →

vs Kyler Phillips · Feb 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ray BorgMetricGabriel Silva

1.52

Strikes / min

1.30

1.93

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

48%

Strike defense

45%

3.89

TDs / 15 min

1.50

46%

Takedown defense

38%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-2.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ray BorgGabriel Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ray Borg(10 fights)Gabriel Silva(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +111.1|Blue -111.1

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.1|Blue +49.1

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ray BorgTargetGabriel Silva

By target zone

60% acc · 80%

Head

50% acc · 88%

100% acc · 13%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

40% acc · 27%

Distance

50% acc · 75%

100% acc · 27%

Clinch

50% acc · 25%

78% acc · 47%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ray Borg rounds

even

Gabriel Silva rounds

Round 1Gabriel Silva edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control1:54

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:45Control

Round 2Ray Borg edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns2

Control2:04

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:27Control

Round 3Ray Borg edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns4

Control4:33

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 23

Sig Strikes

8 / 16

64%

Sig Str %

69%

23 / 34

Total Strikes

58 / 76

6 / 9

TDs

1 / 6

48.7%

TD %

12.5%

Sub Att

Rev

8:31

Ctrl Time

4:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gabriel Silva	5 / 12	22 / 32	1 / 4	0
1	Ray Borg	5 / 9	6 / 10	0 / 1	0
2	Gabriel Silva	2 / 3	22 / 29	0 / 0	0
2	Ray Borg	3 / 5	7 / 10	2 / 3	1
3	Gabriel Silva	1 / 1	14 / 15	0 / 2	0
3	Ray Borg	7 / 9	10 / 14	4 / 5	0

Ray Borg

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights12

Gabriel Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2