Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Chris de la Rocha won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Rashad CoultervsChris de la RochaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Saturday, June 9, 2018Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Chris de la Rocha won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:53

Style matchupRashad Coulter: Pressure fightervsChris de la Rocha: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Rashad Coulter wins(64.3%)

Actual result: Chris de la Rocha wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rashad Coulter at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris de la Rocha enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Chris de la Rocha is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rashad Coulter has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Rashad Coulter has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Chris de la Rocha has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Rashad Coulter

Red Corner

Chris de la Rocha

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1491

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rashad Coulter

oldest →

KOvs Chase Sherman · May 17

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Nov 17

vs Hu Yaozong · Nov 18

latest

Chris de la RochaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Omielanczuk · Jul 15

KOvs Adam Milstead · May 16

KOvs Juan Adams · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rashad CoulterMetricChris de la Rocha

4.82

Strikes / min

4.08

6.68

Strikes absorbed / min

6.37

50%

Strike defense

43%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.02

62%

Takedown defense

33%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.86evenly matched on net striking-2.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rashad CoulterChris de la Rocha

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rashad Coulter(4 fights)Chris de la Rocha(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -538.0|Blue +538.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rashad CoulterTargetChris de la Rocha

By target zone

50% acc · 87%

Head

48% acc · 90%

80% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

46% acc · 63%

Distance

30% acc · 35%

69% acc · 37%

Clinch

73% acc · 20%

Ground

82% acc · 45%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rashad Coulter rounds

even

Chris de la Rocha rounds

Round 1Chris de la Rocha edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:01

21Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:06Control

Round 2Chris de la Rocha edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 57

Sig Strikes

40 / 79

51%

Sig Str %

55%

30 / 58

Total Strikes

79 / 129

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 4

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

5:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris de la Rocha	21 / 52	29 / 62	2 / 3	1
1	Rashad Coulter	27 / 51	27 / 52	0 / 1	0
2	Chris de la Rocha	19 / 27	50 / 67	1 / 1	1
2	Rashad Coulter	3 / 6	3 / 6	0 / 0	0

Rashad Coulter

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Chris de la Rocha

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights4