Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jessica Andrade won · S-DEC R3

Elo1504

Elo1484

Raquel PenningtonvsJessica AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · Saturday, March 15, 2014Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRaquel Pennington: Well-roundedvsJessica Andrade: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Raquel Pennington wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Raquel Pennington at +230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Raquel Pennington has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Raquel Pennington

Red Corner

Jessica Andrade

Blue Corner

+230

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1504

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'1"

170.18 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Raquel Pennington

oldest →

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21

vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24

vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24

latest

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Raquel PenningtonMetricJessica Andrade

4.10

Strikes / min

6.37

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

5.58

61%

Strike defense

54%

0.83

TDs / 15 min

2.10

62%

Takedown defense

75%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Raquel PenningtonJessica Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Jessica Andrade(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +20.9|Blue -20.9

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Raquel PenningtonTargetJessica Andrade

By target zone

38% acc · 62%

Head

35% acc · 71%

90% acc · 22%

Body

71% acc · 23%

100% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

38% acc · 51%

Distance

37% acc · 58%

70% acc · 40%

Clinch

53% acc · 41%

78% acc · 9%

Ground

33% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Raquel Pennington rounds

even

Jessica Andrade rounds

Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:05

3Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:15Control

Round 2Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:20

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 3Raquel Pennington edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns2

Control0:55

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

82 / 167

Sig Strikes

66 / 158

51.7%

Sig Str %

39%

87 / 172

Total Strikes

90 / 185

2 / 3

TDs

3 / 8

66%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:20

Ctrl Time

6:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jessica Andrade	3 / 9	16 / 25	2 / 4	0
1	Raquel Pennington	9 / 15	9 / 15	0 / 0	1
2	Jessica Andrade	30 / 73	35 / 78	1 / 2	0
2	Raquel Pennington	33 / 70	33 / 70	0 / 0	1
3	Jessica Andrade	33 / 76	39 / 82	0 / 2	0
3	Raquel Pennington	40 / 82	45 / 87	2 / 3	0

Raquel Pennington

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30