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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Raquel Pennington won · S-DEC R3

Elo1504

Elo1499

Raquel PenningtonvsIrene AldanaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Saturday, July 20, 2019San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Raquel Pennington won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRaquel Pennington: Well-roundedvsIrene Aldana: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Irene Aldana wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Raquel Pennington wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Irene Aldana at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Irene Aldana has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Raquel Pennington

Red Corner

Irene Aldana

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1504

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Raquel Pennington

oldest →

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21

vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24

vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24

latest

Irene Aldana

oldest →

KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22

vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23

vs Karol Rosa · Dec 23

vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Raquel PenningtonMetricIrene Aldana

4.10

Strikes / min

5.19

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

6.64

61%

Strike defense

56%

0.83

TDs / 15 min

0.15

62%

Takedown defense

77%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Raquel PenningtonIrene Aldana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Irene Aldana(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.5|Blue -5.5

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +182.0|Blue -182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Raquel PenningtonTargetIrene Aldana

By target zone

27% acc · 62%

Head

23% acc · 62%

45% acc · 19%

Body

37% acc · 19%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

56% acc · 19%

By position

32% acc · 87%

Distance

26% acc · 88%

67% acc · 4%

Clinch

86% acc · 12%

100% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Raquel Pennington rounds

even

Irene Aldana rounds

Round 1Irene Aldana edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control1:30

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Raquel Pennington edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control3:59

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 137

Sig Strikes

52 / 184

36%

Sig Str %

30.7%

86 / 181

Total Strikes

75 / 208

1 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

16.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:29

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Irene Aldana	21 / 98	21 / 98	0 / 0
1	Raquel Pennington	16 / 59	16 / 59	0 / 1
2	Irene Aldana	25 / 69	42 / 87	0 / 0
2	Raquel Pennington	24 / 62	29 / 68	0 / 3
3	Irene Aldana	6 / 17	12 / 23	0 / 0
3	Raquel Pennington	7 / 16	41 / 54	1 / 2

Raquel Pennington

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Irene Aldana

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14