Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Germaine de Randamie won · U-DEC R3

Elo1504

Elo1497

Raquel PenningtonvsGermaine de RandamieUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, November 10, 2018Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Germaine de Randamie won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRaquel Pennington: Well-roundedvsGermaine de Randamie: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Raquel Pennington wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Germaine de Randamie wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Raquel Pennington at +180 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Germaine de Randamie has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Raquel Pennington

Red Corner

Germaine de Randamie

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1504

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Raquel Pennington

oldest →

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21

vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24

vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24

latest

Germaine de Randamie

oldest →

KOvs Anna Elmose · May 16

vs Holly Holm · Feb 17

vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Oct 20

vs Norma Dumont · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Raquel PenningtonMetricGermaine de Randamie

4.10

Strikes / min

2.57

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

2.00

61%

Strike defense

65%

0.83

TDs / 15 min

0.00

62%

Takedown defense

65%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Raquel PenningtonGermaine de Randamie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.2|Blue -7.2

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -455.0|Blue +455.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Raquel PenningtonTargetGermaine de Randamie

By target zone

7% acc · 17%

Head

23% acc · 40%

65% acc · 46%

Body

71% acc · 40%

75% acc · 38%

Leg

80% acc · 19%

By position

18% acc · 54%

Distance

30% acc · 60%

85% acc · 46%

Clinch

74% acc · 40%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Raquel Pennington rounds

even

Germaine de Randamie rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control2:45

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:01Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:27

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Germaine de Randamie edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:53

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 84

Sig Strikes

42 / 107

30%

Sig Str %

39.3%

52 / 130

Total Strikes

91 / 159

0 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:05

Ctrl Time

1:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Germaine de Randamie	9 / 22	29 / 42	0 / 0
1	Raquel Pennington	4 / 11	14 / 24	0 / 3
2	Germaine de Randamie	13 / 45	24 / 56	0 / 0
2	Raquel Pennington	12 / 37	20 / 48	0 / 3
3	Germaine de Randamie	20 / 40	38 / 61	0 / 0
3	Raquel Pennington	8 / 36	18 / 58	0 / 2

Raquel Pennington

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Germaine de Randamie

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9