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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Raphael Pessoa Nunes won · Decision R3

Elo1492

Elo1389

Raphael Pessoa NunesvsJeff HughesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Saturday, October 26, 2019Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Raphael Pessoa Nunes won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jeff Hughes wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Raphael Pessoa Nunes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeff Hughes at -245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Raphael Pessoa Nunes

Red Corner

Jeff Hughes

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-245

(71%)

1492

Elo

1389

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

198.12 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Raphael Pessoa Nunes

oldest →

SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Aug 19

latest

Jeff HughesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Maurice Greene · Mar 19

SUBvs Juan Espino · Sep 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Raphael Pessoa NunesMetricJeff Hughes

—

Strikes / min

3.95

—

Strikes absorbed / min

3.67

—

Strike defense

60%

—

TDs / 15 min

0.71

—

Takedown defense

45%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Raphael Pessoa NunesJeff Hughes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Raphael Pessoa Nunes(2 fights)Jeff Hughes(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +102.7|Blue -102.7

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -154.0|Blue +154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Raphael Pessoa Nunes

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights1

Jeff Hughes

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3