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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Victor Henry won · U-DEC R3

Elo1550

Elo1508

Raoni BarcelosvsVictor HenryUFC Prediction Result

UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Saturday, January 22, 2022Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Victor Henry won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRaoni Barcelos: WrestlervsVictor Henry: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Raoni Barcelos wins(57.4%)

Actual result: Victor Henry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Raoni Barcelos at -500 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Raoni Barcelos has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Victor Henry (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Raoni Barcelos

Red Corner

Victor Henry

Blue Corner

-500

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+380

(21%)

1550

Elo

1508

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Raoni BarcelosW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24

vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25

vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25

vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25

DECvs Montel Jackson · Apr 26

latest

Victor Henry

oldest →

vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 22

vs Tony Gravely · Mar 23

KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 24

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Nov 24

vs Pedro Falcao · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Raoni BarcelosMetricVictor Henry

4.65

Strikes / min

7.17

4.24

Strikes absorbed / min

5.19

60%

Strike defense

48%

2.51

TDs / 15 min

1.04

87%

Takedown defense

81%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap+1.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Raoni BarcelosVictor Henry

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Victor Henry(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +42.5|Blue -42.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -48.3|Blue +48.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Raoni BarcelosTargetVictor Henry

By target zone

107

44% acc · 80%

Head

102

40% acc · 56%

71% acc · 7%

Body

77% acc · 35%

89% acc · 13%

Leg

88% acc · 8%

By position

125

47% acc · 93%

Distance

163

50% acc · 90%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

67% acc · 10%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Raoni Barcelos rounds

even

Victor Henry rounds

Round 1Victor Henry edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns1

Control0:09

54Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Victor Henry edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:06

58Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 3Victor Henry edged it

Sig. strikes55

Takedowns0

Control0:00

69Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

134 / 277

Sig Strikes

181 / 352

47.7%

Sig Str %

50.7%

134 / 277

Total Strikes

222 / 397

1 / 7

TDs

0 / 1

11%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

1:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Victor Henry	54 / 113	61 / 120	0 / 0
1	Raoni Barcelos	40 / 79	40 / 79	1 / 3
2	Victor Henry	58 / 115	60 / 117	0 / 0
2	Raoni Barcelos	39 / 92	39 / 92	0 / 2
3	Victor Henry	69 / 124	101 / 160	0 / 1
3	Raoni Barcelos	55 / 106	55 / 106	0 / 2

Raoni Barcelos

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15

Victor Henry

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6