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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Raoni Barcelos won · U-DEC

Elo1550

Elo1434

Raoni BarcelosvsKhalid TahaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · Saturday, November 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Raoni Barcelos won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Raoni Barcelos wins(80.7%)

Actual result: Raoni Barcelos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Raoni Barcelos at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Raoni Barcelos has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Raoni Barcelos has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Raoni Barcelos

Red Corner

Khalid Taha

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+295

(25%)

1550

Elo

1434

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Raoni BarcelosW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24

vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25

vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25

vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25

DECvs Montel Jackson · Apr 26

latest

Khalid TahaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nad Narimani · Jul 18

KOvs Boston Salmon · Apr 19

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 19

vs Sergey Morozov · Jul 21

KOvs Cristian Quinonez · Sep 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Raoni BarcelosMetricKhalid Taha

4.65

Strikes / min

2.64

4.24

Strikes absorbed / min

4.12

60%

Strike defense

46%

2.51

TDs / 15 min

0.00

87%

Takedown defense

61%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap-1.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Raoni BarcelosKhalid Taha

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Khalid Taha(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +116.2|Blue -116.2

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Raoni BarcelosTargetKhalid Taha

By target zone

51% acc · 71%

Head

22% acc · 82%

77% acc · 14%

Body

50% acc · 10%

95% acc · 15%

Leg

67% acc · 8%

By position

108

55% acc · 90%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 4%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Raoni Barcelos rounds

even

Khalid Taha rounds

Round 1Raoni Barcelos edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control1:32

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Round 2Raoni Barcelos edged it

Sig. strikes54

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Raoni Barcelos edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns1

Control1:43

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:29Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

120 / 207

Sig Strikes

49 / 202

58.3%

Sig Str %

24.3%

129 / 219

Total Strikes

68 / 222

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 1

66.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:15

Ctrl Time

1:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Khalid Taha	13 / 49	25 / 62	0 / 0	0
1	Raoni Barcelos	23 / 36	25 / 38	1 / 3	0
2	Khalid Taha	12 / 79	12 / 79	0 / 0	0
2	Raoni Barcelos	54 / 89	54 / 89	0 / 0	0
3	Khalid Taha	24 / 74	31 / 81	0 / 1	0
3	Raoni Barcelos	43 / 82	50 / 92	1 / 1	1

Raoni Barcelos

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15

Khalid Taha

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6