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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Raoni Barcelos won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1550

Elo1376

Raoni BarcelosvsCarlos HuachinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · Saturday, May 11, 2019Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Raoni Barcelos won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:49

Model Prediction: Raoni Barcelos wins(80.6%)

Actual result: Raoni Barcelos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Raoni Barcelos at -1100 American odds

+$9 profit

$109 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Raoni Barcelos has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Raoni Barcelos has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Huachin (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Raoni Barcelos

Red Corner

Carlos Huachin

Blue Corner

-1100

(92%)

Vegas Odds

+700

(13%)

1550

Elo

1376

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'4"

170.18 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Raoni BarcelosW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24

vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25

vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25

vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25

DECvs Montel Jackson · Apr 26

latest

Carlos Huachin

oldest →

vs Jose Quinonez · Sep 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Raoni BarcelosMetricCarlos Huachin

4.65

Strikes / min

2.10

4.24

Strikes absorbed / min

4.80

60%

Strike defense

50%

2.51

TDs / 15 min

0.00

87%

Takedown defense

66%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41Δ 3.11 — meaningful gap-2.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Raoni BarcelosCarlos Huachin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Carlos Huachin(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +173.9|Blue -173.9

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -47.3|Blue +47.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Raoni BarcelosTargetCarlos Huachin

By target zone

46% acc · 88%

Head

14% acc · 85%

75% acc · 5%

Body

33% acc · 10%

67% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

32% acc · 39%

Distance

15% acc · 95%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

33% acc · 5%

70% acc · 59%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Raoni Barcelos rounds

even

Carlos Huachin rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Raoni Barcelos edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control3:24

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 123

Sig Strikes

20 / 127

45.5%

Sig Str %

16%

70 / 137

Total Strikes

20 / 127

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:24

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Carlos Huachin	14 / 95	14 / 95	0 / 0	0
1	Raoni Barcelos	15 / 55	15 / 55	0 / 0	0
2	Carlos Huachin	6 / 32	6 / 32	0 / 0	0
2	Raoni Barcelos	44 / 68	55 / 82	0 / 1	1

Raoni Barcelos

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15

Carlos Huachin

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights2