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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Victor Henry won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1495

Elo1508

Rani YahyavsVictor HenryUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Saturday, April 27, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Victor Henry won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:36

Style matchupRani Yahya: WrestlervsVictor Henry: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Victor Henry wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Victor Henry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Victor Henry at -375 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rani Yahya threatens submissions; Victor Henry has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Victor Henry has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Victor Henry (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Rani Yahya

Red Corner

Victor Henry

Blue Corner

+295

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-375

(79%)

1495

Elo

1508

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rani Yahya

oldest →

SUBvs Luke Sanders · Aug 18

vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19

SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21

KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23

latest

Victor Henry

oldest →

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 22

vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 22

vs Tony Gravely · Mar 23

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Nov 24

vs Pedro Falcao · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rani YahyaMetricVictor Henry

1.71

Strikes / min

7.17

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

5.19

50%

Strike defense

48%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

1.04

29%

Takedown defense

81%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37Δ 2.35 — meaningful gap+1.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rani YahyaVictor Henry

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rani Yahya(10 fights)Victor Henry(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.6|Blue +12.6

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rani YahyaTargetVictor Henry

By target zone

37% acc · 52%

Head

48% acc · 77%

67% acc · 11%

Body

88% acc · 19%

83% acc · 37%

Leg

80% acc · 4%

By position

49% acc · 94%

Distance

51% acc · 82%

75% acc · 6%

Clinch

40% acc · 2%

Ground

67% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rani Yahya rounds

even

Victor Henry rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:48

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:00Control

Round 2Victor Henry edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

56Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:38Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Victor Henry edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:31Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 109

Sig Strikes

109 / 205

49%

Sig Str %

55.7%

56 / 111

Total Strikes

150 / 260

0 / 10

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:48

Ctrl Time

3:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Victor Henry	19 / 30	26 / 41	0 / 0
1	Rani Yahya	21 / 39	23 / 41	0 / 6
2	Victor Henry	56 / 115	70 / 136	0 / 2
2	Rani Yahya	24 / 51	24 / 51	0 / 3
3	Victor Henry	34 / 60	54 / 83	0 / 0
3	Rani Yahya	9 / 19	9 / 19	0 / 1

Rani Yahya

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Victor Henry

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6