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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rani Yahya won · SUB R3

Elo1495

Elo1491

Rani YahyavsRussell DoaneUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · Saturday, February 24, 2018Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Rani Yahya won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:32

Style matchupRani Yahya: WrestlervsRussell Doane: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Rani Yahya wins(72.0%)

Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rani Yahya at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rani Yahya threatens submissions; Russell Doane has lost 60% of fights by sub.
Russell Doane has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rani Yahya

Red Corner

Russell Doane

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1495

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rani YahyaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19

SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21

KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23

KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24

latest

Russell Doane

oldest →

vs Iuri Alcantara · Sep 14

vs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 15

SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16

SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16

KOvs Kwan Ho Kwak · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rani YahyaMetricRussell Doane

1.71

Strikes / min

1.75

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

1.68

50%

Strike defense

53%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

2.11

29%

Takedown defense

52%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rani YahyaRussell Doane

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rani Yahya(10 fights)Russell Doane(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.1|Blue -4.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rani YahyaTargetRussell Doane

By target zone

25% acc · 6%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 82%

Body

67% acc · 100%

100% acc · 12%

Leg

By position

40% acc · 12%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 88%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rani Yahya rounds

even

Russell Doane rounds

Round 1Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control4:07

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control4:38

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control1:12

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 20

Sig Strikes

2 / 8

69.7%

Sig Str %

16.7%

105 / 149

Total Strikes

15 / 30

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

66.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

9:57

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Russell Doane	0 / 2	2 / 4	0 / 0	0
1	Rani Yahya	14 / 15	41 / 46	1 / 1	1
2	Russell Doane	0 / 2	11 / 22	1 / 1	0
2	Rani Yahya	1 / 2	60 / 98	1 / 1	0
3	Russell Doane	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0	0
3	Rani Yahya	2 / 3	4 / 5	0 / 1	1

Rani Yahya

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Russell Doane

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8