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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Rani Yahya won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1490

Rani YahyavsMike BrownUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · Saturday, January 22, 2011Killeen, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Rani Yahya won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRani Yahya: WrestlervsMike Brown: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Mike Brown wins(65.2%)

Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Brown at -350 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Brown has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Mike Brown has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rani Yahya

Red Corner

Mike Brown

Blue Corner

+290

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-350

(78%)

1495

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rani YahyaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19

SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21

KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23

KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24

latest

Mike Brown

oldest →

vs Diego Nunes · Jan 11

vs Nam Phan · Aug 11

vs Daniel Pineda · May 12

KOvs Steven Siler · Aug 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rani YahyaMetricMike Brown

1.71

Strikes / min

2.98

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

2.45

50%

Strike defense

60%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

3.23

29%

Takedown defense

66%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rani YahyaMike Brown

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rani Yahya(10 fights)Mike Brown(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.8|Blue -4.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +48.9|Blue -48.9

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rani YahyaTargetMike Brown

By target zone

64% acc · 45%

Head

32% acc · 47%

59% acc · 25%

Body

67% acc · 13%

92% acc · 30%

Leg

100% acc · 40%

By position

57% acc · 40%

Distance

6% acc · 7%

83% acc · 13%

Clinch

88% acc · 47%

79% acc · 48%

Ground

100% acc · 47%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rani Yahya rounds

even

Mike Brown rounds

Round 1Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns2

Control3:30

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Mike Brown edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:15

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:00Control

Round 3Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control4:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 58

Sig Strikes

15 / 31

67%

Sig Str %

63.3%

97 / 129

Total Strikes

50 / 74

3 / 11

TDs

1 / 1

23.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

7:45

Ctrl Time

3:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Brown	3 / 6	12 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Rani Yahya	9 / 16	27 / 42	2 / 4	1
2	Mike Brown	9 / 22	23 / 38	1 / 1	0
2	Rani Yahya	12 / 19	19 / 27	0 / 2	1
3	Mike Brown	3 / 3	15 / 18	0 / 0	0
3	Rani Yahya	19 / 23	51 / 60	1 / 5	0

Rani Yahya

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Mike Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5