Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rani Yahya won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1359

Rani YahyavsMichinori TanakaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · Saturday, September 24, 2016Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Rani Yahya won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRani Yahya: WrestlervsMichinori Tanaka: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Rani Yahya wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rani Yahya at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Rani Yahya

Red Corner

Michinori Tanaka

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1495

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rani YahyaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19

SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21

KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23

KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24

latest

Michinori Tanaka

oldest →

vs Roland Delorme · Jun 14

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Sep 14

vs Joe Soto · Jan 16

vs Ricardo Ramos · Feb 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rani YahyaMetricMichinori Tanaka

1.71

Strikes / min

1.97

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

1.99

50%

Strike defense

50%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

2.40

29%

Takedown defense

43%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rani YahyaMichinori Tanaka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rani Yahya(10 fights)Michinori Tanaka(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +135.8|Blue -135.8

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -193.0|Blue +193.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rani YahyaTargetMichinori Tanaka

By target zone

36% acc · 40%

Head

45% acc · 50%

100% acc · 20%

Body

100% acc · 15%

80% acc · 40%

Leg

78% acc · 35%

By position

53% acc · 90%

Distance

29% acc · 25%

100% acc · 10%

Clinch

Ground

88% acc · 75%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rani Yahya rounds

even

Michinori Tanaka rounds

Round 1Michinori Tanaka edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control2:28

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:55Control

Round 2Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns4

Control2:58

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:23Control

Round 3Michinori Tanaka edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control1:39

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:36Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 18

Sig Strikes

20 / 34

66.3%

Sig Str %

50%

19 / 28

Total Strikes

121 / 144

7 / 11

TDs

1 / 4

74.3%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

7:05

Ctrl Time

5:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Michinori Tanaka	13 / 17	35 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	Rani Yahya	3 / 8	5 / 11	1 / 1	1
2	Michinori Tanaka	1 / 7	12 / 18	0 / 2	0
2	Rani Yahya	5 / 8	12 / 15	4 / 7	0
3	Michinori Tanaka	6 / 10	74 / 87	1 / 2	0
3	Rani Yahya	2 / 2	2 / 2	2 / 3	0

Rani Yahya

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Michinori Tanaka

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5