Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rani Yahya won · S-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1356

Rani YahyavsMasanori KaneharaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · Wednesday, July 15, 2015San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Rani Yahya won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Masanori Kanehara wins(71.8%)

Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Masanori Kanehara at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rani Yahya threatens submissions; Masanori Kanehara has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Masanori Kanehara has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Masanori Kanehara has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rani Yahya

Red Corner

Masanori Kanehara

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1495

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rani YahyaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19

SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21

KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23

KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24

latest

Masanori Kanehara

oldest →

vs Alex Caceres · Sep 14

SUBvs Michael McDonald · Jan 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rani YahyaMetricMasanori Kanehara

1.71

Strikes / min

1.88

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

1.63

50%

Strike defense

62%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

1.44

29%

Takedown defense

63%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rani YahyaMasanori Kanehara

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rani Yahya(10 fights)Masanori Kanehara(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.1|Blue -139.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rani YahyaTargetMasanori Kanehara

By target zone

26% acc · 58%

Head

41% acc · 50%

29% acc · 8%

Body

77% acc · 42%

100% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

33% acc · 88%

Distance

57% acc · 96%

75% acc · 13%

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rani Yahya rounds

even

Masanori Kanehara rounds

Round 1Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns4

Control4:12

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:41

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:25Control

Round 3Masanori Kanehara edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:26

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:07Control

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 68

Sig Strikes

24 / 44

38.7%

Sig Str %

51.7%

26 / 70

Total Strikes

136 / 157

4 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

22%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:19

Ctrl Time

4:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Masanori Kanehara	4 / 8	36 / 41	0 / 0	0
1	Rani Yahya	8 / 13	9 / 14	4 / 6	0
2	Masanori Kanehara	6 / 14	50 / 58	0 / 0	0
2	Rani Yahya	11 / 31	12 / 32	0 / 1	2
3	Masanori Kanehara	14 / 22	50 / 58	0 / 0	0
3	Rani Yahya	5 / 24	5 / 24	0 / 4	0

Rani Yahya

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Masanori Kanehara

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3