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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Rani Yahya won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1352

Rani YahyavsJosh CloptonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · Saturday, August 3, 2013Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Rani Yahya won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRani Yahya: WrestlervsJosh Clopton: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Josh Clopton wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josh Clopton at +800 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josh Clopton has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rani Yahya

Red Corner

Josh Clopton

Blue Corner

-1000

(91%)

Vegas Odds

+800

(11%)

1495

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rani YahyaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19

SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21

KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23

KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24

latest

Josh Clopton

oldest →

vs Steven Siler · Dec 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rani YahyaMetricJosh Clopton

1.71

Strikes / min

1.60

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

2.87

50%

Strike defense

50%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

2.00

29%

Takedown defense

75%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking-1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rani YahyaJosh Clopton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rani Yahya(10 fights)Josh Clopton(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +142.7|Blue -142.7

Recent Form

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -455.0|Blue +455.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rani YahyaTargetJosh Clopton

By target zone

39% acc · 93%

Head

33% acc · 80%

50% acc · 7%

Body

100% acc · 20%

0% acc

Leg

By position

15% acc · 29%

Distance

33% acc · 60%

Clinch

71% acc · 71%

Ground

50% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rani Yahya rounds

even

Josh Clopton rounds

Round 1Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control3:10

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Round 2Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control4:13

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Josh Clopton edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:59

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 40

Sig Strikes

5 / 13

29.7%

Sig Str %

18.3%

135 / 163

Total Strikes

57 / 69

2 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:22

Ctrl Time

3:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Josh Clopton	0 / 2	10 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Rani Yahya	9 / 19	39 / 49	0 / 1	1
2	Josh Clopton	0 / 2	7 / 9	0 / 0	0
2	Rani Yahya	4 / 15	86 / 99	1 / 2	0
3	Josh Clopton	5 / 9	40 / 46	0 / 0	0
3	Rani Yahya	1 / 6	10 / 15	1 / 4	0

Rani Yahya

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Josh Clopton

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach—

Fights2