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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rani Yahya won · SUB R2

Elo1495

Elo1354

Rani YahyavsJohnny BedfordUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · Saturday, September 13, 2014Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Rani Yahya won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:04

Style matchupRani Yahya: WrestlervsJohnny Bedford: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Rani Yahya wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rani Yahya at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rani Yahya threatens submissions; Johnny Bedford has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Johnny Bedford has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Johnny Bedford has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Johnny Bedford has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Rani Yahya

Red Corner

Johnny Bedford

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1495

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'10"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rani YahyaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19

SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21

KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23

KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24

latest

Johnny BedfordL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Louis Gaudinot · Dec 11

KOvs Marcos Vinicius · Dec 12

SUBvs Bryan Caraway · Apr 13

KOvs Cody Gibson · Jun 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rani YahyaMetricJohnny Bedford

1.71

Strikes / min

4.53

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

1.75

50%

Strike defense

63%

2.73

TDs / 15 min

1.83

29%

Takedown defense

62%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37Δ 3.15 — meaningful gap+2.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rani YahyaJohnny Bedford

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rani Yahya(10 fights)Johnny Bedford(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +141.5|Blue -141.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +210.0|Blue -210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rani YahyaTargetJohnny Bedford

By target zone

35% acc · 62%

Head

27% acc · 44%

100% acc · 23%

Body

100% acc · 56%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

By position

46% acc · 92%

Distance

21% acc · 33%

50% acc · 8%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rani Yahya rounds

even

Johnny Bedford rounds

Round 1Johnny Bedford edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:19

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:00Control

Round 2Rani Yahya edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control1:00

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 28

Sig Strikes

9 / 20

43.5%

Sig Str %

26%

16 / 31

Total Strikes

19 / 34

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

49.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

4:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Bedford	9 / 17	19 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Rani Yahya	11 / 23	13 / 25	1 / 3	1
2	Johnny Bedford	0 / 3	0 / 3	0 / 0	0
2	Rani Yahya	2 / 5	3 / 6	2 / 3	1

Rani Yahya

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19

Johnny Bedford

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5