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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Niko Price won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1498

Elo1445

Randy BrownvsNiko PriceUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Saturday, July 14, 2018Boise, Idaho, USA

Official fight result

Niko Price won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:09

Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsNiko Price: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Niko Price wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Randy Brown at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Randy Brown has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randy Brown

Red Corner

Niko Price

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1498

Elo

1445

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

198.12 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randy BrownL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24

vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25

DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26

latest

Niko PriceL4 streak

oldest →

vs Alex Morono · Jun 24

vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24

SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25

KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26

SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randy BrownMetricNiko Price

4.39

Strikes / min

5.11

3.35

Strikes absorbed / min

5.57

53%

Strike defense

48%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

1.06

74%

Takedown defense

50%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randy BrownNiko Price

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randy Brown(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.6|Blue -52.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randy BrownTargetNiko Price

By target zone

31% acc · 69%

Head

27% acc · 75%

75% acc · 23%

Body

33% acc · 8%

25% acc · 8%

Leg

67% acc · 17%

By position

32% acc · 54%

Distance

9% acc · 17%

57% acc · 31%

Clinch

25% acc · 8%

25% acc · 15%

Ground

75% acc · 75%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randy Brown rounds

even

Niko Price rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:45

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:38Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control0:53

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 37

Sig Strikes

12 / 39

31%

Sig Str %

40%

18 / 43

Total Strikes

40 / 81

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 2

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:38

Ctrl Time

1:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Niko Price	6 / 29	29 / 59	1 / 1
1	Randy Brown	11 / 29	11 / 29	0 / 1
2	Niko Price	6 / 10	11 / 22	0 / 1
2	Randy Brown	2 / 8	7 / 14	1 / 1

Randy Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21

Niko Price

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19