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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Randy Brown won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1498

Elo1507

Randy BrownvsMuslim SalikhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Saturday, February 3, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Randy Brown won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:17

Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsMuslim Salikhov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(69.9%)

Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Randy Brown at -265 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Randy Brown has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Randy Brown

Red Corner

Muslim Salikhov

Blue Corner

-265

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+215

(32%)

1498

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

198.12 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randy BrownL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24

vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25

DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26

latest

Muslim Salikhov

oldest →

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 23

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randy BrownMetricMuslim Salikhov

4.39

Strikes / min

3.37

3.35

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

53%

Strike defense

62%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

1.07

74%

Takedown defense

72%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randy BrownMuslim Salikhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randy Brown(10 fights)Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -9.9|Blue +9.9

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randy BrownTargetMuslim Salikhov

By target zone

18% acc · 46%

Head

0% acc

20% acc · 8%

Body

50% acc · 10%

75% acc · 46%

Leg

82% acc · 90%

By position

27% acc · 92%

Distance

45% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randy Brown rounds

even

Muslim Salikhov rounds

Round 1Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 46

Sig Strikes

10 / 22

28%

Sig Str %

45%

13 / 46

Total Strikes

10 / 22

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Muslim Salikhov	10 / 22	10 / 22	0 / 0	0
1	Randy Brown	13 / 46	13 / 46	0 / 0	0

Randy Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14