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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Randy Brown won · U-DEC R3

Elo1498

Elo1485

Randy BrownvsMickey GallUFC Prediction Result

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · Saturday, November 4, 2017New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Randy Brown won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsMickey Gall: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Mickey Gall wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mickey Gall at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Randy Brown has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (52.9%).
Randy Brown has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Randy Brown

Red Corner

Mickey Gall

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1498

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'3"

Height

6'2"

198.12 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randy BrownL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24

vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25

DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26

latest

Mickey GallL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randy BrownMetricMickey Gall

4.39

Strikes / min

3.50

3.35

Strikes absorbed / min

4.72

53%

Strike defense

49%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

1.15

74%

Takedown defense

37%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-1.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randy BrownMickey Gall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randy Brown(10 fights)Mickey Gall(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.2|Blue -12.2

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randy BrownTargetMickey Gall

By target zone

55% acc · 85%

Head

44% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Body

100% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

32% acc · 17%

Distance

27% acc · 43%

80% acc · 10%

Clinch

70% acc · 73%

Ground

80% acc · 57%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randy Brown rounds

even

Mickey Gall rounds

Round 1Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control3:57

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Mickey Gall edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:14

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:18Control

Round 3Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control4:36

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 70

Sig Strikes

7 / 16

51.3%

Sig Str %

31.7%

60 / 99

Total Strikes

57 / 74

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

8:47

Ctrl Time

4:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mickey Gall	2 / 5	13 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Randy Brown	23 / 40	30 / 47	1 / 1	0
2	Mickey Gall	5 / 9	28 / 38	0 / 1	1
2	Randy Brown	2 / 7	2 / 7	0 / 0	0
3	Mickey Gall	0 / 2	16 / 18	0 / 1	1
3	Randy Brown	16 / 23	28 / 45	0 / 0	0

Randy Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13