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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Randy Brown won · S-DEC R3

Elo1498

Elo1512

Randy BrownvsKhaos WilliamsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · Saturday, May 7, 2022Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Randy Brown won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsKhaos Williams: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Khaos Williams wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Khaos Williams at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Randy Brown has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Randy Brown has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randy Brown

Red Corner

Khaos Williams

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1498

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

198.12 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randy BrownL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24

vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25

DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26

latest

Khaos Williams

oldest →

vs Rolando Bedoya · May 23

KOvs Carlston Harris · May 24

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Feb 25

vs Andreas Gustafsson · Jun 25

KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randy BrownMetricKhaos Williams

4.39

Strikes / min

4.94

3.35

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

53%

Strike defense

40%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

0.00

74%

Takedown defense

51%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randy BrownKhaos Williams

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randy Brown(10 fights)Khaos Williams(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -14.5|Blue +14.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randy BrownTargetKhaos Williams

By target zone

47% acc · 73%

Head

16% acc · 35%

68% acc · 16%

Body

76% acc · 21%

91% acc · 11%

Leg

75% acc · 44%

By position

47% acc · 80%

Distance

33% acc · 91%

90% acc · 20%

Clinch

40% acc · 5%

Ground

43% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randy Brown rounds

even

Khaos Williams rounds

Round 1Khaos Williams edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:43Control

Round 2Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:04

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

Round 3Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns0

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:07Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

93 / 177

Sig Strikes

75 / 224

51.7%

Sig Str %

33.3%

103 / 188

Total Strikes

96 / 246

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

4:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Khaos Williams	21 / 58	28 / 66	0 / 0
1	Randy Brown	18 / 36	19 / 37	0 / 2
2	Khaos Williams	25 / 80	34 / 89	0 / 0
2	Randy Brown	34 / 69	41 / 77	0 / 0
3	Khaos Williams	29 / 86	34 / 91	0 / 0
3	Randy Brown	41 / 72	43 / 74	0 / 2

Randy Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21

Khaos Williams

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights9