Welterweight

3 Rounds

Bryan Battle won · S-DEC R3

Elo1498

Elo1523

Randy BrownvsBryan BattleUFC Prediction Result

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Saturday, December 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bryan Battle won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsBryan Battle: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Bryan Battle wins(68.9%)

Actual result: Bryan Battle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryan Battle at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bryan Battle enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Randy Brown has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randy Brown

Red Corner

Bryan Battle

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1498

Elo

1523

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'1"

198.12 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randy BrownL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25

DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26

latest

Bryan BattleW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Takashi Sato · Aug 22

vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22

KOvs Gabe Green · May 23

SUBvs AJ Fletcher · Sep 23

KOvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randy BrownMetricBryan Battle

4.39

Strikes / min

5.12

3.35

Strikes absorbed / min

4.11

53%

Strike defense

44%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

0.77

74%

Takedown defense

53%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04evenly matched on net striking+1.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randy BrownBryan Battle

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randy Brown(10 fights)Bryan Battle(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -25.2|Blue +25.2

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +119.0|Blue -119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randy BrownTargetBryan Battle

By target zone

41% acc · 53%

Head

31% acc · 35%

85% acc · 37%

Body

82% acc · 54%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

75% acc · 11%

By position

51% acc · 82%

Distance

36% acc · 47%

73% acc · 18%

Clinch

88% acc · 53%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randy Brown rounds

even

Bryan Battle rounds

Round 1Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control0:40

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:18Control

Round 2Bryan Battle edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:56

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:37Control

Round 3Bryan Battle edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:10

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 111

Sig Strikes

57 / 110

53.7%

Sig Str %

51%

80 / 135

Total Strikes

109 / 175

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 6

33.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:46

Ctrl Time

7:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bryan Battle	14 / 31	18 / 35	0 / 2
1	Randy Brown	21 / 45	29 / 56	2 / 2
2	Bryan Battle	22 / 41	56 / 86	0 / 0
2	Randy Brown	15 / 29	21 / 35	0 / 1
3	Bryan Battle	21 / 38	35 / 54	0 / 4
3	Randy Brown	24 / 37	30 / 44	0 / 2

Randy Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21

Bryan Battle

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights8