Welterweight

3 Rounds

Randy Brown won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1498

Elo1364

Randy BrownvsBrian CamozziUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Friday, December 9, 2016Albany, New York, USA

Official fight result

Randy Brown won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:25

Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Randy Brown at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Randy Brown has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randy Brown

Red Corner

Brian Camozzi

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1498

Elo

1364

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

198.12 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randy BrownL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24

vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24

KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25

KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25

DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26

latest

Brian CamozziL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chad Laprise · Jul 17

SUBvs Geoff Neal · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randy BrownMetricBrian Camozzi

4.39

Strikes / min

3.15

3.35

Strikes absorbed / min

6.39

53%

Strike defense

54%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

0.00

74%

Takedown defense

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04Δ 4.28 — meaningful gap-3.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randy BrownBrian Camozzi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randy Brown(10 fights)Brian Camozzi(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.6|Blue -133.6

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -48.3|Blue +48.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randy BrownTargetBrian Camozzi

By target zone

44% acc · 71%

Head

13% acc · 27%

75% acc · 14%

Body

100% acc · 14%

Leg

73% acc · 73%

By position

33% acc · 40%

Distance

32% acc · 91%

100% acc · 26%

Clinch

0% acc

70% acc · 33%

Ground

100% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randy Brown rounds

even

Brian Camozzi rounds

Round 1Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control3:44

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Randy Brown edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:13

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 82

Sig Strikes

11 / 35

51.5%

Sig Str %

32.5%

50 / 90

Total Strikes

13 / 37

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 3

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:57

Ctrl Time

0:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brian Camozzi	6 / 22	8 / 24	0 / 0	1
1	Randy Brown	22 / 48	24 / 50	1 / 1	0
2	Brian Camozzi	5 / 13	5 / 13	0 / 3	0
2	Randy Brown	20 / 34	26 / 40	0 / 0	0

Randy Brown

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21

Brian Camozzi

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3