Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Luana Pinheiro won · DQ

Elo1494

Elo1476

Randa MarkosvsLuana PinheiroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · Saturday, May 1, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Luana Pinheiro won

Model Prediction: Luana Pinheiro wins(90.0%)

Actual result: Luana Pinheiro wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luana Pinheiro at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Luana Pinheiro has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randa Markos

Red Corner

Luana Pinheiro

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1494

Elo

1476

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'2"

160.02 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randa Markos

oldest →

vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 19

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20

vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20

vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21

latest

Luana PinheiroL4 streak

oldest →

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Apr 23

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Nov 23

SUBvs Angela Hill · May 24

vs Gillian Robertson · Nov 24

vs Tecia Pennington · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randa MarkosMetricLuana Pinheiro

2.97

Strikes / min

3.29

3.10

Strikes absorbed / min

4.06

58%

Strike defense

60%

1.12

TDs / 15 min

2.33

52%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randa MarkosLuana Pinheiro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randa Markos(10 fights)Luana Pinheiro(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.7|Blue -17.7

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -48.3|Blue +48.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randa MarkosTargetLuana Pinheiro

By target zone

38% acc · 67%

Head

50% acc · 76%

86% acc · 33%

Body

80% acc · 14%

0% acc

Leg

75% acc · 10%

By position

35% acc · 67%

Distance

53% acc · 69%

100% acc · 28%

Clinch

100% acc · 24%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

25% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randa Markos rounds

even

Luana Pinheiro rounds

Round 1Luana Pinheiro edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:29

29Sig. strikes

5Takedowns

0:54Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 40

Sig Strikes

29 / 53

45%

Sig Str %

54%

28 / 51

Total Strikes

35 / 61

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 6

—

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

0:29

Ctrl Time

0:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Luana Pinheiro	29 / 53	35 / 61	5 / 6	0
1	Randa Markos	18 / 40	28 / 51	0 / 0	0

Randa Markos

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights17

Luana Pinheiro

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights7