Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Kanako Murata won · U-DEC

Elo1494

Elo1479

Randa MarkosvsKanako MurataUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, November 14, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kanako Murata won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Randa Markos wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Kanako Murata wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Randa Markos at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kanako Murata has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randa Markos

Red Corner

Kanako Murata

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1494

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'1"

160.02 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randa Markos

oldest →

vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 19

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20

vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21

vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21

latest

Kanako MurataL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Virna Jandiroba · Jun 21

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randa MarkosMetricKanako Murata

2.97

Strikes / min

2.15

3.10

Strikes absorbed / min

2.40

58%

Strike defense

53%

1.12

TDs / 15 min

3.38

52%

Takedown defense

100%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randa MarkosKanako Murata

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randa Markos(10 fights)Kanako Murata(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.9|Blue -14.9

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -48.2|Blue +48.2

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randa MarkosTargetKanako Murata

By target zone

33% acc · 41%

Head

67% acc · 83%

83% acc · 34%

Body

71% acc · 17%

54% acc · 24%

Leg

By position

38% acc · 66%

Distance

50% acc · 38%

90% acc · 31%

Clinch

33% acc · 3%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

94% acc · 59%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randa Markos rounds

even

Kanako Murata rounds

Round 1Kanako Murata edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:34Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:13Control

Round 3Kanako Murata edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 61

Sig Strikes

29 / 43

49.7%

Sig Str %

67.7%

37 / 69

Total Strikes

79 / 95

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 9

—

TD %

46.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

9:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kanako Murata	15 / 20	36 / 42	2 / 5	0
1	Randa Markos	7 / 11	8 / 12	0 / 0	0
2	Kanako Murata	8 / 15	20 / 27	1 / 2	0
2	Randa Markos	15 / 33	22 / 40	0 / 0	0
3	Kanako Murata	6 / 8	23 / 26	1 / 2	2
3	Randa Markos	7 / 17	7 / 17	0 / 0	0

Randa Markos

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights17

Kanako Murata

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights3