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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Randa Markos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1494

Elo1364

Randa MarkosvsJuliana LimaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · Saturday, January 27, 2018Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Randa Markos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Juliana Lima wins(57.7%)

Actual result: Randa Markos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Juliana Lima at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Juliana Lima has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randa Markos

Red Corner

Juliana Lima

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1494

Elo

1364

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'5"

160.02 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randa Markos

oldest →

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20

vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20

vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21

vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21

latest

Juliana Lima

oldest →

vs Nina Ansaroff · Nov 14

vs Ericka Almeida · May 15

vs Carla Esparza · Apr 16

vs JJ Aldrich · Dec 16

SUBvs Tecia Torres · Jul 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randa MarkosMetricJuliana Lima

2.97

Strikes / min

1.94

3.10

Strikes absorbed / min

2.11

58%

Strike defense

55%

1.12

TDs / 15 min

1.72

52%

Takedown defense

70%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Randa MarkosJuliana Lima

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Randa Markos(10 fights)Juliana Lima(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +130.1|Blue -130.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -29.0|Blue +29.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randa MarkosTargetJuliana Lima

By target zone

44% acc · 24%

Head

45% acc · 28%

91% acc · 22%

Body

45% acc · 28%

86% acc · 54%

Leg

53% acc · 44%

By position

29% acc · 9%

Distance

26% acc · 33%

88% acc · 63%

Clinch

86% acc · 67%

72% acc · 28%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Randa Markos rounds

even

Juliana Lima rounds

Round 1Randa Markos edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control2:41

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:28Control

Round 2Randa Markos edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control2:35

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:02Control

Round 3Randa Markos edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control3:57

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 65

Sig Strikes

18 / 37

68.7%

Sig Str %

46%

114 / 149

Total Strikes

34 / 56

2 / 7

TDs

1 / 2

33.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

9:13

Ctrl Time

3:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Juliana Lima	10 / 17	13 / 20	1 / 1
1	Randa Markos	22 / 25	30 / 33	0 / 3
2	Juliana Lima	3 / 10	12 / 22	0 / 0
2	Randa Markos	10 / 19	40 / 54	1 / 2
3	Juliana Lima	5 / 10	9 / 14	0 / 1
3	Randa Markos	14 / 21	44 / 62	1 / 2

Randa Markos

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights17

Juliana Lima

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7