Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Randa Markos won · SUB R1
Elo1494
Elo1506
Angela Hill

Randa MarkosvsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Saturday, March 23, 2019Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Randa Markos won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:24

Model Prediction: Randa Markos wins(53.7%)

Actual result: Randa Markos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Randa Markos at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Angela Hill has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Randa Markos
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
1494
Elo
1506
40
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Randa Markos
oldest →
L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20
L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20
L
vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20
L
vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21
W
vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21
latest
Angela Hill
oldest →
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
W
DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Randa MarkosMetricAngela Hill
2.97
Strikes / min
5.37
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
58%
Strike defense
60%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
0.75
52%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1487 vs 1473Strikes40.7 vs 78.0Takedowns1.5 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs -0.3
Randa MarkosAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Randa Markos(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.1|Blue +12.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Randa MarkosTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

9
43% acc · 69%
Head
1
17% acc · 50%
4
100% acc · 31%
Body
1
100% acc · 50%
0
0% acc
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
2
40% acc · 100%
5
100% acc · 38%
Clinch
0
0% acc
8
100% acc · 62%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Randa Markos rounds
0
even
0
Angela Hill rounds
Round 1Randa Markos edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control2:53
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
13 / 26
Sig Strikes
2 / 7
50%
Sig Str %
28%
20 / 33
Total Strikes
2 / 7
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:53
Ctrl Time
0:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Angela Hill2 / 72 / 70 / 00
1Randa Markos13 / 2620 / 331 / 11

Randa Markos

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights17

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30