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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Myles Jury won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1355
Ramsey Nijem
Elo1371
Myles Jury

Ramsey NijemvsMyles JuryUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · Saturday, April 20, 2013San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Myles Jury won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:02

Style matchupRamsey Nijem: WrestlervsMyles Jury: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Myles Jury wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Myles Jury wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Myles Jury at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem
Red Corner
VS
Myles Jury
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
1355
Elo
1371
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey NijemL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs James Vick · Aug 13
W
vs Justin Edwards · Jan 14
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Apr 14
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Aug 14
L
vs Andrew Holbrook · Jul 15
latest
Myles JuryL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17
W
vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17
L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18
L
vs Andre Fili · Feb 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricMyles Jury
3.05
Strikes / min
2.94
1.62
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
62%
Strike defense
66%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
2.16
55%
Takedown defense
50%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1537 vs 1538Strikes31.3 vs 34.0Takedowns3.5 vs 1.5Sub Atts1.00 vs 1.00Form0.8 vs 1.0
Ramsey NijemMyles Jury

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)Myles Jury(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -15.7|Blue +15.7
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetMyles Jury

By target zone

3
14% acc · 50%
Head
3
18% acc · 60%
2
40% acc · 33%
Body
1
33% acc · 20%
1
100% acc · 17%
Leg
1
25% acc · 20%

By position

5
19% acc · 83%
Distance
3
14% acc · 60%
0
Clinch
0
1
50% acc · 17%
Ground
2
67% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ramsey Nijem rounds
1
even
1
Myles Jury rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:20
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 2Myles Jury edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
6 / 28
Sig Strikes
5 / 24
25%
Sig Str %
24.5%
10 / 32
Total Strikes
14 / 37
1 / 1
TDs
2 / 2
100%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
1
2:20
Ctrl Time
2:16

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Myles Jury3 / 812 / 212 / 20
1Ramsey Nijem5 / 119 / 151 / 10
2Myles Jury2 / 162 / 160 / 00
2Ramsey Nijem1 / 171 / 170 / 00

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10

Myles Jury

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12