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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ramsey Nijem won · U-DEC R3

Elo1355

Ramsey NijemvsJustin EdwardsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · Wednesday, January 15, 2014Duluth, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Ramsey Nijem won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRamsey Nijem: WrestlervsJustin Edwards: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Justin Edwards wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Ramsey Nijem wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Justin Edwards at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ramsey Nijem has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ramsey Nijem has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ramsey Nijem has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem

Red Corner

Justin Edwards

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1355

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey NijemL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Apr 13

SUBvs James Vick · Aug 13

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Apr 14

KOvs Diego Ferreira · Aug 14

vs Andrew Holbrook · Jul 15

latest

Justin EdwardsL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jorge Lopez · Sep 11

vs John Maguire · Nov 11

SUBvs Josh Neer · Oct 12

KOvs Brandon Thatch · Aug 13

SUBvs Joe Proctor · Jun 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricJustin Edwards

3.05

Strikes / min

2.68

1.62

Strikes absorbed / min

3.32

62%

Strike defense

51%

5.32

TDs / 15 min

2.14

55%

Takedown defense

27%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.43Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap-0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ramsey NijemJustin Edwards

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)Justin Edwards(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +11.0|Blue -11.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetJustin Edwards

By target zone

38% acc · 78%

Head

31% acc · 80%

43% acc · 13%

Body

38% acc · 12%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

67% acc · 8%

By position

35% acc · 63%

Distance

26% acc · 60%

60% acc · 20%

Clinch

50% acc · 32%

53% acc · 17%

Ground

67% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ramsey Nijem rounds

even

Justin Edwards rounds

Round 1Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:03

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns2

Control3:02

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns3

Control1:39

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 113

Sig Strikes

25 / 76

40.7%

Sig Str %

26.7%

75 / 148

Total Strikes

26 / 77

5 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

70.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:44

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Justin Edwards	12 / 39	12 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	Ramsey Nijem	15 / 42	15 / 42	0 / 0	0
2	Justin Edwards	0 / 11	1 / 12	0 / 0	1
2	Ramsey Nijem	15 / 34	37 / 56	2 / 3	1
3	Justin Edwards	13 / 26	13 / 26	0 / 0	0
3	Ramsey Nijem	16 / 37	23 / 50	3 / 4	0

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Justin Edwards

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7