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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ramsey Nijem won · U-DEC R3
Elo1355
Ramsey Nijem
Elo1360
Joe Proctor

Ramsey NijemvsJoe ProctorUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · Saturday, December 8, 2012Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Ramsey Nijem won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRamsey Nijem: WrestlervsJoe Proctor: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ramsey Nijem wins(77.4%)

Actual result: Ramsey Nijem wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramsey Nijem at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Joe Proctor is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ramsey Nijem has lost 60% of fights by KO.
  • Joe Proctor has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem
Red Corner
VS
Joe Proctor
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
1355
Elo
1360
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey NijemL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs James Vick · Aug 13
W
vs Justin Edwards · Jan 14
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Apr 14
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Aug 14
L
vs Andrew Holbrook · Jul 15
latest
Joe ProctorL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Justin Salas · Jul 14
L
SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Dec 14
W
SUBvs Justin Edwards · Jun 15
L
KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Dec 15
L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Apr 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricJoe Proctor
3.05
Strikes / min
3.39
1.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
62%
Strike defense
59%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
70%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1519Strikes25.3 vs 10.0Takedowns3.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.33 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs 1.0
Ramsey NijemJoe Proctor

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)Joe Proctor(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -5.0|Blue +5.0
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetJoe Proctor

By target zone

35
38% acc · 71%
Head
17
28% acc · 81%
9
50% acc · 18%
Body
2
50% acc · 10%
5
71% acc · 10%
Leg
2
67% acc · 10%

By position

32
40% acc · 65%
Distance
17
29% acc · 81%
9
45% acc · 18%
Clinch
3
33% acc · 14%
8
50% acc · 16%
Ground
1
100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Ramsey Nijem rounds
0
even
0
Joe Proctor rounds
Round 1Ramsey Nijem edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:54
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:55Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Ramsey Nijem edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control1:38
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Round 3Ramsey Nijem edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control3:21
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
49 / 117
Sig Strikes
21 / 68
41.7%
Sig Str %
32%
117 / 204
Total Strikes
36 / 84
5 / 10
TDs
0 / 0
49.7%
TD %
0
Sub Att
4
0
Rev
0
7:53
Ctrl Time
2:26

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Joe Proctor8 / 1915 / 270 / 02
1Ramsey Nijem14 / 3832 / 701 / 30
2Joe Proctor8 / 3210 / 340 / 02
2Ramsey Nijem17 / 4429 / 562 / 30
3Joe Proctor5 / 1711 / 230 / 00
3Ramsey Nijem18 / 3556 / 782 / 40

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10

Joe Proctor

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8