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Lightweight

3 Rounds

James Vick won · SUB R1

Elo1355

Elo1377

Ramsey NijemvsJames VickUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · Saturday, August 17, 2013Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

James Vick won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:58

Style matchupRamsey Nijem: WrestlervsJames Vick: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ramsey Nijem wins(76.9%)

Actual result: James Vick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramsey Nijem at -190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem

Red Corner

James Vick

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1355

Elo

1377

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey NijemL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Apr 13

vs Justin Edwards · Jan 14

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Apr 14

KOvs Diego Ferreira · Aug 14

vs Andrew Holbrook · Jul 15

latest

James VickL4 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18

vs Paul Felder · Feb 19

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19

KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricJames Vick

3.05

Strikes / min

4.13

1.62

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

62%

Strike defense

60%

5.32

TDs / 15 min

0.26

55%

Takedown defense

57%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.43evenly matched on net striking+0.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ramsey NijemJames Vick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)James Vick(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -21.8|Blue +21.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.6|Blue +48.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetJames Vick

By target zone

Head

Body

0% acc

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ramsey Nijem rounds

even

James Vick rounds

Round 1Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns1

Control0:22

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 2

Sig Strikes

0 / 0

Sig Str %

—

0 / 2

Total Strikes

0 / 0

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:22

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	James Vick	0 / 0	0 / 0	0 / 0	1
1	Ramsey Nijem	0 / 2	0 / 2	1 / 2	0

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

James Vick

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14