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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Diego Ferreira won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1355

Elo1489

Ramsey NijemvsDiego FerreiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · Saturday, August 30, 2014Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Diego Ferreira won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:53

Style matchupRamsey Nijem: WrestlervsDiego Ferreira: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ramsey Nijem wins(60.2%)

Actual result: Diego Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramsey Nijem at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Diego Ferreira is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ramsey Nijem has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem

Red Corner

Diego Ferreira

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1355

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey Nijem

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Apr 13

SUBvs James Vick · Aug 13

vs Justin Edwards · Jan 14

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Apr 14

vs Andrew Holbrook · Jul 15

latest

Diego FerreiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21

KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23

KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24

vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricDiego Ferreira

3.05

Strikes / min

4.70

1.62

Strikes absorbed / min

3.46

62%

Strike defense

55%

5.32

TDs / 15 min

0.82

55%

Takedown defense

57%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.43evenly matched on net striking+1.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ramsey NijemDiego Ferreira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)Diego Ferreira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -133.7|Blue +133.7

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +78.0|Blue -78.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetDiego Ferreira

By target zone

25% acc · 72%

Head

30% acc · 68%

75% acc · 17%

Body

55% acc · 24%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

67% acc · 8%

By position

33% acc · 83%

Distance

26% acc · 64%

0% acc

Clinch

27% acc · 17%

Ground

100% acc · 36%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ramsey Nijem rounds

even

Diego Ferreira rounds

Round 1Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control0:49

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Diego Ferreira edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:53

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 58

Sig Strikes

25 / 70

25%

Sig Str %

45%

27 / 67

Total Strikes

33 / 79

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

33%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:42

Ctrl Time

0:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Diego Ferreira	14 / 53	19 / 59	0 / 0	1
1	Ramsey Nijem	16 / 45	22 / 51	2 / 3	0
2	Diego Ferreira	11 / 17	14 / 20	0 / 0	1
2	Ramsey Nijem	2 / 13	5 / 16	0 / 1	0

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Diego Ferreira

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights17