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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ramsey Nijem won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1355
Ramsey Nijem
Elo1352

Ramsey NijemvsCJ KeithUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · Friday, June 22, 2012Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Ramsey Nijem won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:29

Model Prediction: Ramsey Nijem wins(78.5%)

Actual result: Ramsey Nijem wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramsey Nijem at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ramsey Nijem has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem
Red Corner
VS
CJ Keith
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1355
Elo
1352
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
185 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey NijemL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs James Vick · Aug 13
W
vs Justin Edwards · Jan 14
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Apr 14
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Aug 14
L
vs Andrew Holbrook · Jul 15
latest
CJ Keith
oldest →
L
SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · Jan 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricCJ Keith
3.05
Strikes / min
0.86
1.62
Strikes absorbed / min
1.82
62%
Strike defense
50%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
62%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43Δ 2.39 — meaningful gap-0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes35.5 vs —Takedowns4.0 vs —Sub Atts2.00 vs —Form0.2 vs 0.0
Ramsey NijemCJ Keith

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)CJ Keith(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +3.2|Blue -3.2
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetCJ Keith

By target zone

5
36% acc · 100%
Head
3
60% acc · 60%
0
0% acc
Body
0
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 40%

By position

2
22% acc · 40%
Distance
2
50% acc · 40%
0
Clinch
2
100% acc · 40%
3
50% acc · 60%
Ground
1
100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ramsey Nijem rounds
0
even
0
CJ Keith rounds
Round 1Ramsey Nijem edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control1:04
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
5 / 15
Sig Strikes
5 / 7
33%
Sig Str %
71%
19 / 34
Total Strikes
16 / 19
1 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
33%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:04
Ctrl Time
0:23

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1CJ Keith5 / 716 / 190 / 00
1Ramsey Nijem5 / 1519 / 341 / 30

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10

CJ Keith

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2